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It may or may not be a mechanical problem. Since it is happening only in cold weather, I am wondering what types of loads you are shooting. The colder the weather, the slower the powder burns and the less velocity the load produces. With less velocity, there is less recoil and the inertia trigger on the 686 might not be getting set because of this reduced recoil.
I have this sort of problem in cold weather with my SBE. During the summer and early fall, I can shoot 1 1/8 oz. loads going 1145 fps without any problem, but when the temps are cold (i.e., 35 or below), that round will not cycle the action and I need to use something in the 1200 fps range. Now, I just use 1200 fps for all my 1 1/8 oz loads though that gun.
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The pond, waterfowl, and yellow labs...it don't get any better.
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